Criteria to assess the possibility of corporate bankruptcies in U.S. equity exchange markets [closed]












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Which criteria do you suggest to measure the susceptibility of bankruptcies (e.g., Chapter 11, 7) for a company in a U.S. equity exchange market (e.g., NYSE, Nasdaq, OTC) that may lower the risks of short-term trading to long-term investing?










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closed as too broad by Alex C, LocalVolatility, skoestlmeier, byouness, Lliane Feb 22 at 8:56


Please edit the question to limit it to a specific problem with enough detail to identify an adequate answer. Avoid asking multiple distinct questions at once. See the How to Ask page for help clarifying this question. If this question can be reworded to fit the rules in the help center, please edit the question.














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    Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model: pdf: www-personal.umich.edu/~shumway/papers.dir/forcbank.pdf
    $endgroup$
    – Emma
    Feb 19 at 23:06
















3












$begingroup$


Which criteria do you suggest to measure the susceptibility of bankruptcies (e.g., Chapter 11, 7) for a company in a U.S. equity exchange market (e.g., NYSE, Nasdaq, OTC) that may lower the risks of short-term trading to long-term investing?










share|improve this question











$endgroup$



closed as too broad by Alex C, LocalVolatility, skoestlmeier, byouness, Lliane Feb 22 at 8:56


Please edit the question to limit it to a specific problem with enough detail to identify an adequate answer. Avoid asking multiple distinct questions at once. See the How to Ask page for help clarifying this question. If this question can be reworded to fit the rules in the help center, please edit the question.














  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model: pdf: www-personal.umich.edu/~shumway/papers.dir/forcbank.pdf
    $endgroup$
    – Emma
    Feb 19 at 23:06














3












3








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2



$begingroup$


Which criteria do you suggest to measure the susceptibility of bankruptcies (e.g., Chapter 11, 7) for a company in a U.S. equity exchange market (e.g., NYSE, Nasdaq, OTC) that may lower the risks of short-term trading to long-term investing?










share|improve this question











$endgroup$




Which criteria do you suggest to measure the susceptibility of bankruptcies (e.g., Chapter 11, 7) for a company in a U.S. equity exchange market (e.g., NYSE, Nasdaq, OTC) that may lower the risks of short-term trading to long-term investing?







equities trading market investing debt






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edited Feb 23 at 5:10









Emma

319112




319112










asked Feb 19 at 22:46









fgauthfgauth

889




889




closed as too broad by Alex C, LocalVolatility, skoestlmeier, byouness, Lliane Feb 22 at 8:56


Please edit the question to limit it to a specific problem with enough detail to identify an adequate answer. Avoid asking multiple distinct questions at once. See the How to Ask page for help clarifying this question. If this question can be reworded to fit the rules in the help center, please edit the question.









closed as too broad by Alex C, LocalVolatility, skoestlmeier, byouness, Lliane Feb 22 at 8:56


Please edit the question to limit it to a specific problem with enough detail to identify an adequate answer. Avoid asking multiple distinct questions at once. See the How to Ask page for help clarifying this question. If this question can be reworded to fit the rules in the help center, please edit the question.










  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model: pdf: www-personal.umich.edu/~shumway/papers.dir/forcbank.pdf
    $endgroup$
    – Emma
    Feb 19 at 23:06














  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model: pdf: www-personal.umich.edu/~shumway/papers.dir/forcbank.pdf
    $endgroup$
    – Emma
    Feb 19 at 23:06








1




1




$begingroup$
Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model: pdf: www-personal.umich.edu/~shumway/papers.dir/forcbank.pdf
$endgroup$
– Emma
Feb 19 at 23:06




$begingroup$
Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model: pdf: www-personal.umich.edu/~shumway/papers.dir/forcbank.pdf
$endgroup$
– Emma
Feb 19 at 23:06










2 Answers
2






active

oldest

votes


















6












$begingroup$

I have been told:



Bankruptcy is very controversial Google Scholar Researchers.



You might track companies ratios (e.g., debt to equity ratio, EPS, net income, cash per share (cash/sh), etc.). For instance, GE looks almost bankrupt. But, it is not and there is a very low probability that GE would file for any bankruptcy chapter, I'm just guessing.



There are many companies, especially in OTC markets, that many investors consider them "bankrupt", but "they are not" and their equities are being traded, e.g. OTCMKTS: HMNY. Usually, theses companies are destined to takeover, involuntary M&As, and so.



Also, there are types of bankruptcies that you might take into account, not to mention the complexity of U.S. bankruptcy courts, when it comes to public firms Wikipedia. Majorities of top public companies are incorporated in Delaware, which has a fairly advanced court system to protect shareholders (e.g., Delaware Court of Chancery).



Companies in pharmaceutical sector might be good to look into since they usually develop high-risk products that may not succeed. You may use stock screener tools to filter companies based on any criteria you wish and find those that are in serious financial situations. In fact, many small-account retail traders love to trade their equities, since they are usually oversold Finviz Oversold TradingView.





My favorites screeners are:



Finviz



TradingView



Also, you may collect grading data from so many equity research websites Wikipedia. Such as:



Seeking Alpha



Zacks.com



Barron's



Thomson Reuters



GE chart from Finviz



GE on Finviz



GE chart on TradingView






share|improve this answer











$endgroup$









  • 1




    $begingroup$
    Is cash flow from ops anywhere on that sheet? I might be going blind, but if it isn't there - I'd say it is fairly important. You can run at a loss on balance, but still be bringing in cash by the bucketful. Cash is king.
    $endgroup$
    – Stian Yttervik
    Feb 20 at 9:07



















8












$begingroup$

Since the stock is listed on NASDAQ, you have access to fairly standard 10Q and 10K financial statements. So you can apply the analysis pioneered by Ed Altman in his Z-score paper - compare this company's fundamental ratios with those of other companies, and see how many of them went bankrupt historically. For example, Moody's KMV uses this approach to estimate "EDF" (expected default frequency) for many corporate credits.






share|improve this answer









$endgroup$




















    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes








    2 Answers
    2






    active

    oldest

    votes









    active

    oldest

    votes






    active

    oldest

    votes









    6












    $begingroup$

    I have been told:



    Bankruptcy is very controversial Google Scholar Researchers.



    You might track companies ratios (e.g., debt to equity ratio, EPS, net income, cash per share (cash/sh), etc.). For instance, GE looks almost bankrupt. But, it is not and there is a very low probability that GE would file for any bankruptcy chapter, I'm just guessing.



    There are many companies, especially in OTC markets, that many investors consider them "bankrupt", but "they are not" and their equities are being traded, e.g. OTCMKTS: HMNY. Usually, theses companies are destined to takeover, involuntary M&As, and so.



    Also, there are types of bankruptcies that you might take into account, not to mention the complexity of U.S. bankruptcy courts, when it comes to public firms Wikipedia. Majorities of top public companies are incorporated in Delaware, which has a fairly advanced court system to protect shareholders (e.g., Delaware Court of Chancery).



    Companies in pharmaceutical sector might be good to look into since they usually develop high-risk products that may not succeed. You may use stock screener tools to filter companies based on any criteria you wish and find those that are in serious financial situations. In fact, many small-account retail traders love to trade their equities, since they are usually oversold Finviz Oversold TradingView.





    My favorites screeners are:



    Finviz



    TradingView



    Also, you may collect grading data from so many equity research websites Wikipedia. Such as:



    Seeking Alpha



    Zacks.com



    Barron's



    Thomson Reuters



    GE chart from Finviz



    GE on Finviz



    GE chart on TradingView






    share|improve this answer











    $endgroup$









    • 1




      $begingroup$
      Is cash flow from ops anywhere on that sheet? I might be going blind, but if it isn't there - I'd say it is fairly important. You can run at a loss on balance, but still be bringing in cash by the bucketful. Cash is king.
      $endgroup$
      – Stian Yttervik
      Feb 20 at 9:07
















    6












    $begingroup$

    I have been told:



    Bankruptcy is very controversial Google Scholar Researchers.



    You might track companies ratios (e.g., debt to equity ratio, EPS, net income, cash per share (cash/sh), etc.). For instance, GE looks almost bankrupt. But, it is not and there is a very low probability that GE would file for any bankruptcy chapter, I'm just guessing.



    There are many companies, especially in OTC markets, that many investors consider them "bankrupt", but "they are not" and their equities are being traded, e.g. OTCMKTS: HMNY. Usually, theses companies are destined to takeover, involuntary M&As, and so.



    Also, there are types of bankruptcies that you might take into account, not to mention the complexity of U.S. bankruptcy courts, when it comes to public firms Wikipedia. Majorities of top public companies are incorporated in Delaware, which has a fairly advanced court system to protect shareholders (e.g., Delaware Court of Chancery).



    Companies in pharmaceutical sector might be good to look into since they usually develop high-risk products that may not succeed. You may use stock screener tools to filter companies based on any criteria you wish and find those that are in serious financial situations. In fact, many small-account retail traders love to trade their equities, since they are usually oversold Finviz Oversold TradingView.





    My favorites screeners are:



    Finviz



    TradingView



    Also, you may collect grading data from so many equity research websites Wikipedia. Such as:



    Seeking Alpha



    Zacks.com



    Barron's



    Thomson Reuters



    GE chart from Finviz



    GE on Finviz



    GE chart on TradingView






    share|improve this answer











    $endgroup$









    • 1




      $begingroup$
      Is cash flow from ops anywhere on that sheet? I might be going blind, but if it isn't there - I'd say it is fairly important. You can run at a loss on balance, but still be bringing in cash by the bucketful. Cash is king.
      $endgroup$
      – Stian Yttervik
      Feb 20 at 9:07














    6












    6








    6





    $begingroup$

    I have been told:



    Bankruptcy is very controversial Google Scholar Researchers.



    You might track companies ratios (e.g., debt to equity ratio, EPS, net income, cash per share (cash/sh), etc.). For instance, GE looks almost bankrupt. But, it is not and there is a very low probability that GE would file for any bankruptcy chapter, I'm just guessing.



    There are many companies, especially in OTC markets, that many investors consider them "bankrupt", but "they are not" and their equities are being traded, e.g. OTCMKTS: HMNY. Usually, theses companies are destined to takeover, involuntary M&As, and so.



    Also, there are types of bankruptcies that you might take into account, not to mention the complexity of U.S. bankruptcy courts, when it comes to public firms Wikipedia. Majorities of top public companies are incorporated in Delaware, which has a fairly advanced court system to protect shareholders (e.g., Delaware Court of Chancery).



    Companies in pharmaceutical sector might be good to look into since they usually develop high-risk products that may not succeed. You may use stock screener tools to filter companies based on any criteria you wish and find those that are in serious financial situations. In fact, many small-account retail traders love to trade their equities, since they are usually oversold Finviz Oversold TradingView.





    My favorites screeners are:



    Finviz



    TradingView



    Also, you may collect grading data from so many equity research websites Wikipedia. Such as:



    Seeking Alpha



    Zacks.com



    Barron's



    Thomson Reuters



    GE chart from Finviz



    GE on Finviz



    GE chart on TradingView






    share|improve this answer











    $endgroup$



    I have been told:



    Bankruptcy is very controversial Google Scholar Researchers.



    You might track companies ratios (e.g., debt to equity ratio, EPS, net income, cash per share (cash/sh), etc.). For instance, GE looks almost bankrupt. But, it is not and there is a very low probability that GE would file for any bankruptcy chapter, I'm just guessing.



    There are many companies, especially in OTC markets, that many investors consider them "bankrupt", but "they are not" and their equities are being traded, e.g. OTCMKTS: HMNY. Usually, theses companies are destined to takeover, involuntary M&As, and so.



    Also, there are types of bankruptcies that you might take into account, not to mention the complexity of U.S. bankruptcy courts, when it comes to public firms Wikipedia. Majorities of top public companies are incorporated in Delaware, which has a fairly advanced court system to protect shareholders (e.g., Delaware Court of Chancery).



    Companies in pharmaceutical sector might be good to look into since they usually develop high-risk products that may not succeed. You may use stock screener tools to filter companies based on any criteria you wish and find those that are in serious financial situations. In fact, many small-account retail traders love to trade their equities, since they are usually oversold Finviz Oversold TradingView.





    My favorites screeners are:



    Finviz



    TradingView



    Also, you may collect grading data from so many equity research websites Wikipedia. Such as:



    Seeking Alpha



    Zacks.com



    Barron's



    Thomson Reuters



    GE chart from Finviz



    GE on Finviz



    GE chart on TradingView







    share|improve this answer














    share|improve this answer



    share|improve this answer








    edited Feb 20 at 20:14

























    answered Feb 19 at 23:21









    EmmaEmma

    319112




    319112








    • 1




      $begingroup$
      Is cash flow from ops anywhere on that sheet? I might be going blind, but if it isn't there - I'd say it is fairly important. You can run at a loss on balance, but still be bringing in cash by the bucketful. Cash is king.
      $endgroup$
      – Stian Yttervik
      Feb 20 at 9:07














    • 1




      $begingroup$
      Is cash flow from ops anywhere on that sheet? I might be going blind, but if it isn't there - I'd say it is fairly important. You can run at a loss on balance, but still be bringing in cash by the bucketful. Cash is king.
      $endgroup$
      – Stian Yttervik
      Feb 20 at 9:07








    1




    1




    $begingroup$
    Is cash flow from ops anywhere on that sheet? I might be going blind, but if it isn't there - I'd say it is fairly important. You can run at a loss on balance, but still be bringing in cash by the bucketful. Cash is king.
    $endgroup$
    – Stian Yttervik
    Feb 20 at 9:07




    $begingroup$
    Is cash flow from ops anywhere on that sheet? I might be going blind, but if it isn't there - I'd say it is fairly important. You can run at a loss on balance, but still be bringing in cash by the bucketful. Cash is king.
    $endgroup$
    – Stian Yttervik
    Feb 20 at 9:07











    8












    $begingroup$

    Since the stock is listed on NASDAQ, you have access to fairly standard 10Q and 10K financial statements. So you can apply the analysis pioneered by Ed Altman in his Z-score paper - compare this company's fundamental ratios with those of other companies, and see how many of them went bankrupt historically. For example, Moody's KMV uses this approach to estimate "EDF" (expected default frequency) for many corporate credits.






    share|improve this answer









    $endgroup$


















      8












      $begingroup$

      Since the stock is listed on NASDAQ, you have access to fairly standard 10Q and 10K financial statements. So you can apply the analysis pioneered by Ed Altman in his Z-score paper - compare this company's fundamental ratios with those of other companies, and see how many of them went bankrupt historically. For example, Moody's KMV uses this approach to estimate "EDF" (expected default frequency) for many corporate credits.






      share|improve this answer









      $endgroup$
















        8












        8








        8





        $begingroup$

        Since the stock is listed on NASDAQ, you have access to fairly standard 10Q and 10K financial statements. So you can apply the analysis pioneered by Ed Altman in his Z-score paper - compare this company's fundamental ratios with those of other companies, and see how many of them went bankrupt historically. For example, Moody's KMV uses this approach to estimate "EDF" (expected default frequency) for many corporate credits.






        share|improve this answer









        $endgroup$



        Since the stock is listed on NASDAQ, you have access to fairly standard 10Q and 10K financial statements. So you can apply the analysis pioneered by Ed Altman in his Z-score paper - compare this company's fundamental ratios with those of other companies, and see how many of them went bankrupt historically. For example, Moody's KMV uses this approach to estimate "EDF" (expected default frequency) for many corporate credits.







        share|improve this answer












        share|improve this answer



        share|improve this answer










        answered Feb 19 at 23:21









        Dimitri VulisDimitri Vulis

        3909




        3909















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