Bound for probability with almost sure convergence












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Let $(X_n)_n$ be random variables which converge almost surely to a constant $x in mathbb R$, i.e. $X_n xrightarrow{n to infty} x$ a.s. Let $Y$ be another random variable.



Question: Can I say something like $$mathrm{Pr}(Y geq X_n) leq mathrm{Pr} left(Y geq frac{x}{2} right)$$ for $n$ large enough?










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  • This seems unlikely if $x$ is zero or negative
    – Henry
    Nov 27 at 8:44
















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Let $(X_n)_n$ be random variables which converge almost surely to a constant $x in mathbb R$, i.e. $X_n xrightarrow{n to infty} x$ a.s. Let $Y$ be another random variable.



Question: Can I say something like $$mathrm{Pr}(Y geq X_n) leq mathrm{Pr} left(Y geq frac{x}{2} right)$$ for $n$ large enough?










share|cite|improve this question






















  • This seems unlikely if $x$ is zero or negative
    – Henry
    Nov 27 at 8:44














0












0








0







Let $(X_n)_n$ be random variables which converge almost surely to a constant $x in mathbb R$, i.e. $X_n xrightarrow{n to infty} x$ a.s. Let $Y$ be another random variable.



Question: Can I say something like $$mathrm{Pr}(Y geq X_n) leq mathrm{Pr} left(Y geq frac{x}{2} right)$$ for $n$ large enough?










share|cite|improve this question













Let $(X_n)_n$ be random variables which converge almost surely to a constant $x in mathbb R$, i.e. $X_n xrightarrow{n to infty} x$ a.s. Let $Y$ be another random variable.



Question: Can I say something like $$mathrm{Pr}(Y geq X_n) leq mathrm{Pr} left(Y geq frac{x}{2} right)$$ for $n$ large enough?







probability probability-theory convergence stochastic-processes random-variables






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asked Nov 27 at 8:39









Kariani

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51












  • This seems unlikely if $x$ is zero or negative
    – Henry
    Nov 27 at 8:44


















  • This seems unlikely if $x$ is zero or negative
    – Henry
    Nov 27 at 8:44
















This seems unlikely if $x$ is zero or negative
– Henry
Nov 27 at 8:44




This seems unlikely if $x$ is zero or negative
– Henry
Nov 27 at 8:44










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No, you cannot have such an inequality. Let $X_n$ take the values $0$ and $1$ with probabilities $frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $1-frac 1 {2^{n}}$ respectively. Since $sum P(X_n=0)<infty$ Borel cantalli Lemma shows that $X_n to 1$ almost surely. Now take $Y=frac 1 4$. Then $P(Ygeq X_n) =frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $P(Y geq frac 1 2)=0$.






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    No, you cannot have such an inequality. Let $X_n$ take the values $0$ and $1$ with probabilities $frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $1-frac 1 {2^{n}}$ respectively. Since $sum P(X_n=0)<infty$ Borel cantalli Lemma shows that $X_n to 1$ almost surely. Now take $Y=frac 1 4$. Then $P(Ygeq X_n) =frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $P(Y geq frac 1 2)=0$.






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      No, you cannot have such an inequality. Let $X_n$ take the values $0$ and $1$ with probabilities $frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $1-frac 1 {2^{n}}$ respectively. Since $sum P(X_n=0)<infty$ Borel cantalli Lemma shows that $X_n to 1$ almost surely. Now take $Y=frac 1 4$. Then $P(Ygeq X_n) =frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $P(Y geq frac 1 2)=0$.






      share|cite|improve this answer
























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        No, you cannot have such an inequality. Let $X_n$ take the values $0$ and $1$ with probabilities $frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $1-frac 1 {2^{n}}$ respectively. Since $sum P(X_n=0)<infty$ Borel cantalli Lemma shows that $X_n to 1$ almost surely. Now take $Y=frac 1 4$. Then $P(Ygeq X_n) =frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $P(Y geq frac 1 2)=0$.






        share|cite|improve this answer












        No, you cannot have such an inequality. Let $X_n$ take the values $0$ and $1$ with probabilities $frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $1-frac 1 {2^{n}}$ respectively. Since $sum P(X_n=0)<infty$ Borel cantalli Lemma shows that $X_n to 1$ almost surely. Now take $Y=frac 1 4$. Then $P(Ygeq X_n) =frac 1 {2^{n}}$ and $P(Y geq frac 1 2)=0$.







        share|cite|improve this answer












        share|cite|improve this answer



        share|cite|improve this answer










        answered Nov 27 at 8:46









        Kavi Rama Murthy

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        49.9k31854






























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